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Coronavirus: A Black Swan?

Describing uncertainty - why coronavirus is neither a ‘black swan’ nor a low probability event The manuscript of Radical...

Radical Uncertainty: Capital Ideas Podcast

John and Mervyn spoke with Matt Miller of Capital Ideas about Radical Uncertainty. Listen to the podcast here!

Radical Uncertainty Released

Radical Uncertainty, coauthored by myself and Mervyn King, has been published! Order it on Amazon, or pick it up at any good...

The Point Of Probabilities

Osama bin Laden masterminded the attack on Manhattan’s World Trade Center on September 11, 2001, and US military preparations for a possible invasion of Iraq...

Radical Uncertainty

Radical Uncertainty by John Kay and Mervyn King is released 5th March 2020 in the UK. Pre-order a copy here.

Is the Rate of Change of GDP the Best Way to...

In May 2018 I and other academics discussed the role of GDP at the Royal Society. You can...

Does God Play Dice?

Socrates: “I dare say that you are familiar with Tisias.  Does he not define probability to be that which the many think?”

Adam Smith and the Pin Factory

‘One man draws out the wire, another straights it, a third cuts it, a fourth points it, a fifth grinds it at...

Great Thinkers: John Kay FBA on G. L. S. Shackle FBA

Mervyn King and I recently recorded a discussion on GLS Shackle, an economist who has been largely forgotten but has helped inform...

Pensions are stuck in a doom loop

In 1991 the ebullient fraudster Robert Maxwell disappeared from his yacht and was found to have looted the Daily Mirror pension funds to support his crumbling...

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