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Sovereign wealth is a force for stability

The political consequences of international trade are different from the political consequences of international investment. Yet the willingness of business to transcend political divisions in pursuit of commercial advantage is basically a force for peace.

Not the time to emphasise Scotland’s fealty

Scottish banknotes are not legal tender in England – or in Scotland. What matters is not what is legal tender, but what others will accept.

A fall in prices can often be good news

Asset prices are a measure less of our wealth than of our propensity for self-congratulation. The net effect is only a transfer between the existing owners and the prospective owners.

Beware the personality cult in democracies

European companies are increasingly imitating US ones in the cult and remuneration of chief executives. Political organisation may evolve similarly as party membership declines and ideology fades.

India cannot take economic growth for granted

The capacity of politics to get in the way of economic growth has dominated most of the economic history of most of the world.

Climate change: the (Groucho) Marxist approach

The balance between present and future will be determined not by moral philosophy or economic models but by the decisions of ordinary savers, investors and voters.

Emerging economies have not become ‘decoupled’

Your country of residence is where you buy your clothes, eat your meals, draw up your accounts and write your board minutes. But the volume and value of all these domestic operations depends on the role the country’s producers play in the global economy.

The fruitless search for exact knowledge

The search for “sharp prediction” – the mantra of the modern scientific economist who seeks to replicate the successes of physics for social science – is doomed to failure.

Tough love is the best regime for failed banks

The notion that private companies can extract indiscriminate, industry- wide support from the public for the benefit of their investors by threatening that their weaker members will collapse is intolerable in any sector.

Helping savers and attending to credit risk

The public interest does not require taxpayer support of financial institutions: indeed it requires that some of them make substantial losses in this crisis. Only then will credit risk begin to be priced appropriately and lenders do their diligence.

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